Multistep ahead forecasting of vector time series

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Multistep-Ahead Time Series Prediction

Multistep-ahead prediction is the task of predicting a sequence of values in a time series. A typical approach, known as multi-stage prediction, is to apply a predictive model step-by-step and use the predicted value of the current time step to determine its value in the next time step. This paper examines two alternative approaches known as independent value prediction and parameter prediction...

متن کامل

Nonparametric multistep-ahead prediction in time series analysis

We consider the problem of multistep-ahead prediction in time series analysis by using nonparametric smoothing techniques. Forecasting is always one of the main objectives in time series analysis. Research has shown that non-linear time series models have certain advantages in multistep-ahead forecasting. Traditionally, nonparametric k-step-ahead least squares prediction for non-linear autoregr...

متن کامل

Time Series Forecasting Methodology for Multiple-Step-Ahead Prediction

This paper presents a time series forecasting methodology and applies it to generate multiple–step–ahead predictions for the direction of change of the daily exchange rate of the Japanese Yen against the US Dollar. The proposed methodology draws from the disciplines of chaotic time series analysis, clustering, and artificial neural networks. In brief, clustering is applied to identify neighborh...

متن کامل

Application of support vector machines in !nancial time series forecasting

This paper deals with the application of a novel neural network technique, support vector machine (SVM), in !nancial time series forecasting. The objective of this paper is to examine the feasibility of SVM in !nancial time series forecasting by comparing it with a multi-layer back-propagation (BP) neural network. Five real futures contracts that are collated from the Chicago Mercantile Market ...

متن کامل

NCER Working Paper Series Forecasting day-ahead electricity load using a multiple equation time series approach

The quality of short-term electricity load forecasting is crucial to the operation and trading activities of market participants in an electricity market. In this paper, it is shown that a multiple equation time-series model, which is estimated by repeated application of ordinary least squares, has the potential to match or even outperform more complex nonlinear and nonparametric forecasting mo...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Econometric Reviews

سال: 2014

ISSN: 0747-4938,1532-4168

DOI: 10.1080/07474938.2014.977088